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Dubai Desert Classic betting

January 29, 2014

Rory is firing on all cylinders at the moment and barring a two-shot penalty at the Abu Dhabi Championship would have wrapped up his second win in his last three starts. Having taken the title in 2009 along with two other top six finishes at the event it is no surprise to see Rory as the 7/2 favourite with Paddy Power this week.

Ernie Els has the strongest course form on show with a run of seven top three finishes between 2002 and 2008. This was followed by a missed cut and a four year absence so this form must be taken with a pinch of salt. However he may have just been giving everyone else a chance and at 40/1 with six places available he may just be worth throwing a fiver at this week.

Tiger Woods has two wins in 2006 and 2008 at this event and a similar period of absence as Ernie with just one appearance since that win in 2008. Tiger has shaken off the cobwebs after a first run out of 2014 last week and there are worse bets than a two time event winner and a 40-time European Tour winner at 6/1. With Henrik Stenson at 10/1 we have a former winner in the form of his life completing the most likely trio.

Betting without Woods, Rory and Stenson

Paddy Power is offering betting without the likely trio with Rafael Cabrera Bello and Thorbjorn Olesen as the 14/1 joint-favourites for this market. The pair has shown fine form in the Desert so far this year and will surely go close again. At 25/1 we have a trio of former winners worth consideration in Stephen Gallacher, Alvaro Quiros and Ernie Els.

Top 5 Finish

With seven placed finishes in eight starts at the event Ernie Els is the first place to look when considering a top five finish bet. 8/1 for a bet that has clicked for seven of the last eight times looks too good to be true but it is only Ernie's recent absence from the event that casts a doubt over this bet. Branden Grace is in fine form and loves Desert golf and can be backed at an industry top price of 8/1 for a top five with Paddy Power.

Top 10 Finish

Stephen Gallacher has a win and a second place finish in his last two trips to the Dubai desert Classic and his game surely suits a course with par-5 eagle opportunities aplenty. There doesn't seem to be much room left in the top five with Ernie, Rory, Tiger and Stenson all likely to be there or thereabouts so the 7/2 on offer for a Gallacher top 10 could be the best route to take. Peter Uihlein will enjoy this bomber's paradise and is also well worthy of consideration at 11/2.

First Round Leader

Rory McIlroy has taken the first round lead at the Dubai Desert Classic on three of seven occasions and can be backed at 7/1 to repeat the feat. Els has found himself in position for an e/w pay-out in this market on four out of eight occasions and is of interest again at 40/1. And finally there is Richard Sterne at 66/1 who on numerous occasions has gotten off to a quick start at this event.

A Paddy Power spokesman said: "Rory looks to be back on the verge of his brilliant best and we wouldn't be shocked to see him take the first round lead and outright win this week."

Six place special - Paddy Power will be paying out on six places on all Each-way bets at this week's Dubai Desert Classic

Link to market:

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